This condescending
attitude vis-a-vis Nepal has deeply marked the relations between India
and the Himalayan Kingdom. Unfortunately, it has had (and continues
to have) serious consequences. I remember a visit to Nepal several
years ago: I had been invited to stay with a Nepalese family which
did not know about my connection with India. Every morning, I used
to go for a walk in the streets of Kathmandu with my host who had
worked as a senior executive of the Imperial (now Indian) Tobacco
Company. During our strolls, his monologues generally targeted India
and the shoddy way Nepal had been treated; this bitterness had surprised
me. Today, resentment against India is still very strong and widespread
in the kingdom.
If India wants
to play a more important role in the region, such susceptibility (right
or wrong) should be taken care of and dealt with. Apparently, it has
not been done in recent months. If reports in the press are true (the
King's visit to India is said to have been cancelled thrice), South
Block should begin some introspection, especially since the Ambassador
to Nepal has been promoted as Foreign Secretary. The same Mr Saran
speaks pragmatically on basic "democratic" values which
were the cause for the cancellation of the Prime Minister's visit
to the SAARC meeting in Bangladesh.
It seems sometimes
that South Block is suffering from Alzheimer's disease. Has Delhi
forgotten the way the Pakistani General-President came to power in
Pakistan after the Kargil war? Why this policy inconsistency (or double
standard) towards two of India's neighbours? The point is not that
India should not engage Pakistan, but it should not be done an emotional
manner, why use "idealism" on one side and "pragmatism"
on the other? Speaking of democracy in Nepal is good, but one should
also look at what is going on in Pakistan today.
Soon after
the Godhra incident and the regrettable riots which followed, a Pakistani
news channel said: "In Pakistan as well as overseas, every Pakistani
is praying for safety of fellow Muslims in India, and is thinking
'Thank God we have Pakistan... Thank God for the farsightedness of
Iqbal and Jinnah for creating our homeland'." However, this opinion
is not shared by everybody. In an updated version of its Global Futures
Assessment Report, the US National Intelligence Council and the CIA
have predicted that Pakistan is ripe for civil war, bloodshed, and
inter-provincial rivalries: She may face a "Yugoslavia-like fate".
Already in
2000, the CIA had forecast that Pakistan "will not recover easily
from decades of political and economic mismanagement, divisive politics,
lawlessness, corruption and ethnic friction. Nascent democratic reforms
will produce little change in the face of opposition from an entrenched
political elite and radical Islamic parties. Further domestic decline
would benefit Islamic political activists, who may significantly increase
their role in national politics and alter the makeup and cohesion
of the military once Pakistan's most capable institution."
The Report
had concluded: "In a climate of continuing domestic turmoil,
the Central Government's control probably will be reduced to the Punjabi
heartland and the economic hub of Karachi." Last week, Wajid
Shamsul Hasan, a former Pakistan high commissioner to United Kingdom,
wrote an article in the South Asia Tribune mentioning a forthcoming
invasion of Balochistan by General Musharraf's troops. He commented,
"The military operation that has been put in motion in Balochistan
would further distance the Baloch people from rest of the country."
Very few have
noted another interesting feature of the CIA report: A map titled
'Jammu and Kashmir: Ethnic Mix of a Disputed State'. For decades the
Western powers have sided with Pakistan under the pretext that "Kashmir
was a muslim state". The official publication of this map by
the CIA proves that the Western mindset is fast changing. Kashmir
is an ethnically mixed state, like India is an ethnically mixed nation.
But there is more mind-blowing material: A "deal" was reported
in the Pakistani press: "The Army has publicly admitted paying
Al Qaeda over half a million dollars in the most bizarre deal it has
ever made with militant Waziristan fighters, battling the Army and
the US forces in the rugged terrain bordering Afghanistan for months."
The announcement
was made by Lt General Safdar Hussain, Corps Commander of Peshawar
Corps, in-charge of military operations in Waziristan. He said that
$540,000 had been paid to four tribal militants "to settle their
debts with Al Qaeda". This was part of a "peace deal"
signed with local tribesmen. Can you believe it: The Pakistan state,
a special partner of the US, directly and openly pays "dues"
to the Al Qaeda? The Pakistani Army considered it a good deal: The
militants had initially asked for six times more. The only bad part
was that Baitullah Mehsud, the main rebel, (an ex-Guantanamo prisoner)
refused to accept his share - it was not enough. The deal was negotiated
by Maulana Fazlur Rehman, the founder of the Taliban (so well received
in India a couple of years ago by the NDA Government).
While the General-turned-President
speaks big about the self-determination of Kashmiris, the situation
turns grimmer every day in the Northern Areas of POK. Reports mention
that Islamabad had to evacuate 36 foreigners from Gilgit last month
as the town is under curfew "following a flare-up of sectarian
violence". Further, it appears 70 Chinese construction engineers
and workers were shifted from the site of a hydro-electric project
near Gilgit to a safer location. In January, Gilgit continued to witness
riots and unrest for diverse reasons, the main one being that no freedom
is granted to the local population which has decided to take its lot
to the annual UN Human Rights Commission in Geneva in March.
And even better:
The Sunday Telegraph in London reported that an investigation by Pakistan's
Inter-Services Intelligence Agency (ISI) "confirmed that the
controversial scientist, AQ Khan, provided nuclear expertise and equipment
to Iran". This admission came during talks in EU, Brussels, last
month: "The EU officials were told that cooperation between Tehran
and Dr Khan and associates from his Khan Research Laboratories began
in the mid-1990s and included more than a dozen meetings over several
years." The newspaper claimed that Dr Khan "sold nuclear
codes, materials, components and plans that left his 'signature' at
the core of Iranian nuclear programme."
Before leaving
for Pakistan, Mr Natwar Singh spoke about the situation in Nepal:
"It would be desirable that immediate steps are taken towards
the release of political leaders, journalists and human rights activists;
freedom of media is restored; multi-party democracy is reinstated,
and efforts are made to evolve a national consensus to address the
problems faced by the country." One couldn't be more in agreement
with this idealist stand, but one wonders why this standard shall
apply to Nepal alone and not to other neighbours as well. Then we
could really say: "Thank god we have India."